Paris FC vs Lille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Lille. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris FC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris FC vs Lille?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Paris FC (2,131) and Lille (2,171).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris FC vs Lille
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 27M. Simon
- 42Diego Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 6Otávio
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Lille
4-3-3- 10H. Haraldsson
- 35S. Diaoune
- 8E. Mbappé
- 17N. Mukau
- 21B. André
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 3N. Ngoy
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 23T. Nianzou
- 24C. Verdonk
- 1B. Özer
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lille have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Paris FC wins, 0 draws, 2 Lille wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Paris FC 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lille 4-2 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lille | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris FC sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (20 points from 10 matches) and Lille sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
A question about Paris FC vs Lille?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Lille?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Lille.
- Where and when is Paris FC vs Lille played?
- Paris FC vs Lille is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.