Lens vs Monaco: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
The Footlab model makes Lens the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Monaco. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lens vs Monaco?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Lens (2,180) and Monaco (2,093).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Monaco have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-0 | Trophée des Champions |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lens win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Monaco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Lens 2-3 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Monaco 1-4 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Lens 4-0 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Monaco 1-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Lens 2-3 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Lens 2-2 Monaco | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Lens score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Monaco | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lens sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Monaco sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lens vs Monaco?
- The Footlab model makes Lens the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Monaco.
- Where and when is Lens vs Monaco played?
- Lens vs Monaco is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.