Lorient vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab AI model makes Lorient the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorient wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Strasbourg?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Lorient (2,015) and Strasbourg (2,026).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient vs Strasbourg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 80Gessime Yassine
- 11S. Nanasi
- 7S. Amo-Ameyaw
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 21P. Diop
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 36Oso
- 31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
- 1F. Jörgensen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Strasbourg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lorient wins, 2 draws, 2 Strasbourg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lorient 2-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Strasbourg 0-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-3 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Lorient 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Strasbourg 1-1 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lorient vs Strasbourg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.7 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 8th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Strasbourg sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Lorient vs Strasbourg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorient the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Strasbourg played?
- Lorient vs Strasbourg is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.