Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
The Footlab model makes England U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Republic of Ireland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21?
England U21 starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Republic of Ireland U21 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; England U21 have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Croatia U21(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Moldova U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Andorra U21(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Moldova U21(home) | 4-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Andorra U21(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Slovakia U21(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Republic of Ireland U21(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Andorra U21(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Republic of Ireland U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 England U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | England U21 2-0 Republic of Ireland U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: England U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 on Nov 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Republic of Ireland U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; England U21 score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland U21 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| England U21 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Republic of Ireland U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (11 points from 7 matches) and England U21 sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21?
- The Footlab model makes England U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Republic of Ireland U21.
- Where and when is Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21 played?
- Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Waterford Regional Sports Centre, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 6, 2026Andorra U21vsSlovakia U21
- Oct 6, 2026Azerbaijan U21vsGibraltar U21
- Oct 6, 2026Bulgaria U21vsScotland U21
- Oct 6, 2026Faroe Islands U21vsIceland U21
- Oct 6, 2026France U21vsSwitzerland U21
- Oct 6, 2026Moldova U21vsKazakhstan U21
- Oct 6, 2026Netherlands U21vsBosnia-Herzegovina U21
- Oct 6, 2026Norway U21vsIsrael U21