Match

Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford

Republic of Ireland U21England U21

The Footlab model makes England U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Republic of Ireland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21?

England U21 starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,558).

Republic of Ireland U21 win29 %
Draw25 %
England U21 win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Republic of Ireland U21 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; England U21 have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Republic of Ireland U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Qatar U23(home)0-0Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026Croatia U21(away)2-2Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Kazakhstan U21(away)1-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026Moldova U21(home)1-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Andorra U21(away)0-4UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
England U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Moldova U21(home)4-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Andorra U21(away)1-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Slovakia U21(away)4-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Republic of Ireland U21(home)2-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 13, 2025Andorra U21(home)1-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Republic of Ireland U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 England U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2025England U21 2-0 Republic of Ireland U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: England U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Republic of Ireland U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; England U21 score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Republic of Ireland U211.51.258/157/15
England U212.60.778/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Republic of Ireland U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (11 points from 7 matches) and England U21 sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1England U21761018219
3Republic of Ireland U21732271011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21?
The Footlab model makes England U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Republic of Ireland U21.
Where and when is Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21 played?
Republic of Ireland U21 vs England U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Waterford Regional Sports Centre, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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