Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Rio Ave. The most likely score is 1-1. If GIL Vicente wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Rio Ave (2,040) and GIL Vicente (2,123).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1- 11J. Blesa
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 5A. Ntoi
- 79M. Patricio
- 54G. Liavas
- 80S. Clemmensen
- 17M. Vrousai
- 23F. Petrasso
- 20João Tomé
- 39Gustavo Mancha
- 32Vitor Hugo
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 99M. Kaba
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 10Santi García
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 45David Moreira
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 30Lucão
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; GIL Vicente have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rio Ave wins, 4 draws, 2 GIL Vicente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| May 3, 2026 | Rio Ave 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GIL Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | GIL Vicente 3-1 Rio Ave | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2025 | Rio Ave 1-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2025 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave sit 14th in Primeira Liga (7 points from 8 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Rio Ave.
- Where and when is Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente played?
- Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.