Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rio Ave. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Rio Ave (1,998) and GIL Vicente (2,050).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; GIL Vicente have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rio Ave win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 GIL Vicente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| May 3, 2026 | Rio Ave 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GIL Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | GIL Vicente 3-1 Rio Ave | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2025 | Rio Ave 1-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2025 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave sit 10th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rio Ave.
- Where and when is Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente played?
- Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.