Famalicao vs Estoril: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaMatchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Estoril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Famalicao wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Famalicao vs Estoril?
Famalicao starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (2,142 vs 1,983).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Famalicao vs Estoril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Famalicao
4-2-3-1- 70G. Koutsias
- 7Sorriso
- 14Mathias De Amorim
- 18R. Beney
- 6T. van de Looi
- 10Pedro Santos
- 15Víctor Rofino
- 2Gustavo Garcia
- 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
- 28Pedro Francisco
- 25L. Carević
Estoril
4-5-1- 7André Lacximicant
- 6Xavi Sintes
- 5A. Tsoungui
- 99R. Guitane
- 12João Carvalho
- 17Peixinho
- 4Ferro
- 21R. Jurišić
- 2Ricard Sánchez
- 22Pedro Carvalho
- 1Joel Robles
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Famalicao have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Famalicao wins, 1 draw, 1 Estoril win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Estoril 1-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Estoril 0-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Famalicao 4-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Estoril 1-2 Famalicao | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Famalicao 3-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Estoril 2-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Famalicao score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Estoril | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Famalicao sit 10th in Primeira Liga (13 points from 11 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 2 |
A question about Famalicao vs Estoril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Famalicao vs Estoril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Estoril.
- Where and when is Famalicao vs Estoril played?
- Famalicao vs Estoril is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.