Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Ehime FC (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ehime FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ehime FC 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Ehime FC 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| May 11, 2025 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 4-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Ehime FC 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Ehime FC vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Ehime FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 10, 2026Tochigi SCvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Oct 10, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsFC Ryukyu
- Oct 10, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsBiwako Shiga
- Oct 10, 2026Gainare TottorivsFC Gifu
- Oct 10, 2026SagamiharavsKamatamare Sanuki
- Oct 10, 2026Kochi UnitedvsParceiro Nagano
- Oct 10, 2026Nara ClubvsKitakyushu