Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kamatamare Sanuki have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sagamihara win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 2-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sagamihara 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sagamihara 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sagamihara 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Sagamihara on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?
- Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsKagoshima United
- Oct 10, 2026Roasso KumamotovsEhime FC
- Oct 10, 2026Tochigi SCvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Oct 10, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsFC Ryukyu
- Oct 10, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsBiwako Shiga
- Oct 10, 2026Gainare TottorivsFC Gifu
- Oct 10, 2026Kochi UnitedvsParceiro Nagano
- Oct 10, 2026Nara ClubvsKitakyushu