Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi
The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and FC Ryukyu (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 3-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
| Apr 16, 2022 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| Sep 18, 2021 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-2 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Sep 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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