Match

Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno

Kochi UnitedRoasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Kochi United (1,634) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,698).

Kochi United win36 %
Draw32 %
Roasso Kumamoto win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Kochi United3111284
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kochi United and Roasso Kumamoto

Ready to know everything about football?