Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno
The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Kochi United (1,634) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
- Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKagoshima United
- Aug 29, 2026FC RyukyuvsSagamihara
- Aug 29, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsNara Club
- Aug 29, 2026FC GifuvsTochigi SC
- Aug 30, 2026KitakyushuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Aug 30, 2026Parceiro NaganovsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Aug 30, 2026Biwako ShigavsGainare Tottori
- Aug 30, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsOsaka