Kamatamare Sanuki vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Renofa Yamaguchi starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| May 27, 2018 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-3 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| Jul 16, 2016 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Oct 21, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
- The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026FC GifuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Nov 14, 2026KanazawavsRoasso Kumamoto
- Nov 14, 2026Tochigi SCvsNara Club
- Nov 14, 2026KitakyushuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Nov 14, 2026FC RyukyuvsKochi United
- Nov 14, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsGainare Tottori
- Nov 14, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsSagamihara
- Nov 14, 2026Parceiro NaganovsEhime FC