Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kagoshima United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,810) and Kagoshima United (1,865).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sagamihara
4-3-3- 15T. Maeda
- 7A. Tanahashi
- 9K. Sasaki
- 10R. Nakayama
- 17T. Takeuchi
- 6Y. Tokunaga
- 13M. Tokida
- 2K. Watahiki
- 19S. Okita
- 5R. Yamauchi
- 21Kim Min-Ho
Kagoshima United
4-3-3- 22Aura Takahashi
- 18K. Kawamura
- 9R. Arita
- 7W. Tanaka
- 14K. Yoshio
- 20M. Endo
- 35G. Egawa
- 44Yoshitaka Aoki
- 5Y. Yamada
- 36J. Ikeda
- 31D. Sakata
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win, 0 draws, 5 Kagoshima United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kagoshima United 3-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sagamihara 0-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Sagamihara 0-3 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Sagamihara 0-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Kagoshima United 0-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara on Aug 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 4th in J3 League (28 points from 15 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 1st (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 28 |
A question about Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sagamihara.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United played?
- Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.