Where and when is Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United played?

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

Sagamihara

Kagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,768) and Kagoshima United (1,812).

Sagamihara win34 %

Draw28 %

Kagoshima United win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

Kagoshima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Nara Club(away)	3-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Blaublitz Akita(away)	2-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Kagoshima United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2025	Kagoshima United 3-0 Sagamihara	J3 League
Mar 1, 2025	Sagamihara 0-2 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Sep 9, 2023	Sagamihara 0-3 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Mar 26, 2023	Kagoshima United 2-1 Sagamihara	J3 League
Aug 20, 2022	Sagamihara 0-1 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Jul 17, 2022	Kagoshima United 0-1 Sagamihara	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15
Kagoshima United	1.5	0.8	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
4	Kagoshima United	3	2	1	0	4	1	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?: The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Sagamihara.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United played?: Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.