Newport County vs Rotherham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Rotherham?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Newport County (1,806) and Rotherham (1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Rotherham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 9S. Gwengwe
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 17Alfie Merritt
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Rotherham
3-4-2-1- 10P. Mullin
- 12D. Hall
- 24J. Buyabu
- 22Jamie Jellis
- 4J. Austerfield
- 8K. Spence
- 15Jayce Fitzgerald
- 27D. Iorfa
- 26H. Douglas
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 13J. Eyestone
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Rotherham have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Newport County wins, 1 draw, 0 Rotherham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham 2-2 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rotherham vs Newport County on Oct 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rotherham score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rotherham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 11th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Rotherham sit 23rd (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Newport County vs Rotherham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Rotherham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Rotherham played?
- Newport County vs Rotherham is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.