Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia SkierniewiceRuch Chorzów

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Ruch Chorzów (1,862).

Unia Skierniewice win47 %
Draw25 %
Ruch Chorzów win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga
Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-2I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Nieciecza(away)0-2I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 4, 2024Unia Skierniewice 0-2 Ruch ChorzówCup

Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów on Dec 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15
Ruch Chorzów1.21.256/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Ruch Chorzów5212357
12Unia Skierniewice5203586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ruch Chorzów.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów played?
Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unia Skierniewice and Ruch Chorzów

Ready to know everything about football?