Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Ruch Chorzów (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | Unia Skierniewice 0-2 Ruch Chorzów | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów on Dec 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ruch Chorzów.
- Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów played?
- Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsNieciecza
- Mar 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsMiedz Legnica
- Mar 13, 2027Odra OpolevsStal Mielec
- Mar 13, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Bytom
- Mar 13, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsArka Gdynia
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia WarszawavsStal Rzeszów