Match

Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów

Chrobry GłogówRuch Chorzów

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,850) and Ruch Chorzów (1,850).

Chrobry Głogów win43 %
Draw27 %
Ruch Chorzów win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)5-1I Liga
Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-2I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Nieciecza(away)0-2I Liga
Jul 18, 2026Karviná(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Chrobry Głogów 1-1 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Sep 22, 2025Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
May 19, 2025Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Nov 7, 2024Ruch Chorzów 5-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Feb 11, 2023Ruch Chorzów 1-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Jul 23, 2022Chrobry Głogów 0-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga

Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chrobry Głogów1.51.6012/1510/15
Ruch Chorzów1.21.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Chrobry Głogów5212857
15Ruch Chorzów4112254

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów?
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ruch Chorzów.
Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów played?
Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chrobry Głogów and Ruch Chorzów

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