Match

Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomPuszcza Niepołomice

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).

Polonia Bytom win45 %
Draw25 %
Puszcza Niepołomice win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga
Puszcza Niepołomice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 17, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-3I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)0-1I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)0-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice 2-1 Polonia BytomI Liga
Oct 4, 2025Polonia Bytom 1-1 Puszcza NiepołomiceI Liga
Jul 6, 2024Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15
Puszcza Niepołomice0.81.534/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Polonia Bytom512211145
17Puszcza Niepołomice5104373

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Bytom and Puszcza Niepołomice

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