Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom
The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Polonia Bytom | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Miedz LegnicavsOdra Opole
- Apr 10, 2027Lechia GdanskvsStal Rzeszów
- Apr 10, 2027NiecieczavsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 10, 2027Warta PoznańvsStal Mielec
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPodbeskidzie
- Apr 10, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsChrobry Głogów
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia WarszawavsArka Gdynia