Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara played?

FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC Ryukyu

Sagamihara

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara?

Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,601).

FC Ryukyu win28 %

Draw25 %

Sagamihara win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jul 17, 2026	Urawa(home)	5-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Fukushima United(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026	Imabari(away)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Ryukyu win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sagamihara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 16, 2025	Sagamihara 4-1 FC Ryukyu	J3 League
Apr 5, 2025	FC Ryukyu 2-0 Sagamihara	J3 League
Oct 12, 2024	FC Ryukyu 2-1 Sagamihara	J3 League
Mar 17, 2024	Sagamihara 0-0 FC Ryukyu	J3 League
Aug 26, 2023	FC Ryukyu 0-4 Sagamihara	J3 League
May 28, 2023	Sagamihara 0-0 FC Ryukyu	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu on Nov 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu	1.1	1.5	2	8/15	6/15
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
18	FC Ryukyu	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara?: The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara played?: FC Ryukyu vs Sagamihara is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.