Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara played?

Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori

Gainare Tottori

Sagamihara

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Gainare Tottori (1,692) and Sagamihara (1,768).

Gainare Tottori win36 %

Draw25 %

Sagamihara win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gainare Tottori
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Ehime FC(away)	0-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Sagamihara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	4-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-0	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	4-3	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gainare Tottori win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sagamihara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 12, 2025	Gainare Tottori 2-1 Sagamihara	J3 League
May 6, 2025	Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori	J3 League
Nov 24, 2024	Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori	J3 League
May 19, 2024	Gainare Tottori 0-3 Sagamihara	J3 League
Oct 8, 2023	Gainare Tottori 0-0 Sagamihara	J3 League
Mar 4, 2023	Sagamihara 2-3 Gainare Tottori	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara on Oct 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gainare Tottori	1.5	1.5	1	10/15	9/15
Sagamihara	1.8	1.5	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gainare Tottori sit 10th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
10	Gainare Tottori	3	1	1	1	3	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara?: The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara played?: Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.