Salford City vs Colchester: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Peninsula Stadium, Salford, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salford City vs Colchester?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Salford City (1,850) and Colchester (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salford City have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Colchester have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Salford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Colchester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Colchester 0-1 Salford City | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Salford City 4-3 Colchester | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Salford City 4-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Colchester 1-2 Salford City | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Salford City 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Colchester 2-1 Salford City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Salford City on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Colchester | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salford City sit 22nd in League Two (0 points from 2 matches) and Colchester sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salford City vs Colchester?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Colchester.
- Where and when is Salford City vs Colchester played?
- Salford City vs Colchester is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Peninsula Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.