Salford City vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Peninsula Stadium, Salford, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salford City vs Crawley Town?
Salford City starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salford City have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Crawley Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Salford City win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Crawley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Crawley Town 0-0 Salford City | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Salford City 4-3 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Crawley Town 0-1 Salford City | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Salford City 1-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Crawley Town 3-2 Salford City | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Salford City 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Salford City on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salford City sit 22nd in League Two (0 points from 2 matches) and Crawley Town sit 15th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salford City vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Salford City vs Crawley Town played?
- Salford City vs Crawley Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Peninsula Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.