Salgueiros vs Estoril: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, Porto
The Footlab AI model makes Estoril the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Salgueiros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estoril wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salgueiros vs Estoril?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Salgueiros (1,946) and Estoril (2,045).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salgueiros vs Estoril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salgueiros
Not enough data to predict the Salgueiros lineup.
Estoril
4-2-3-1- 14Y. Begraoui
- 12João Carvalho
- 10J. Holsgrove
- 44M. Robin
- 5A. Tsoungui
- 7André Lacximicant
- 2Ricard Sánchez
- 21R. Jurišić
- 6Xavi Sintes
- 15Isma Sierra
- 1Joel Robles
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgueiros have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Estoril have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cinfães(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Salgueiros score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgueiros | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Estoril | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Salgueiros vs Estoril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salgueiros vs Estoril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estoril the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Salgueiros.
- Where and when is Salgueiros vs Estoril played?
- Salgueiros vs Estoril is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.