San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Diego the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Houston Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Diego wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate San Diego (1,883) and Houston Dynamo (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Diego vs Houston Dynamo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Diego
3-4-3- 10A. Dreyer
- 99E. Achouri
- 7M. Ingvartsen
- 6J. Tverskov
- 20A. Godoy
- 33O. Verhoeven
- 3D. Þórhallsson
- 26M. Duah
- 32I. Murphy
- 25I. Pilcher
- 1C. dos Santos
Houston Dynamo
4-4-2- 20Guilherme
- 30A. Bouzat
- 19M. Bogusz
- 6Artur
- 16H. Herrera
- 24A. Ibrahim
- 11L. Ennali
- 5Lucas Halter
- 21F. Negri
- 3Antônio Carlos
- 31J. Bond
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Houston Dynamo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Austin(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 0-5 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 10, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 San Diego win, 0 draws, 2 Houston Dynamo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Houston Dynamo 1-0 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Houston Dynamo 2-4 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 6, 2025 | San Diego 3-4 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Houston Dynamo vs San Diego on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Diego score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Houston Dynamo score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Houston Dynamo | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Diego sit 12th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 27 matches) and Houston Dynamo sit 5th (44 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 44 |
| 12 | San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 32 |
A question about San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Diego the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Houston Dynamo.
- Where and when is San Diego vs Houston Dynamo played?
- San Diego vs Houston Dynamo is played on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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