Where and when is San Diego vs Houston Dynamo played?

San Diego vs Houston Dynamo is played on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)

San Diego

Houston Dynamo

The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Houston Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate San Diego (1,809) and Houston Dynamo (1,837).

San Diego win41 %

Draw26 %

Houston Dynamo win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Houston Dynamo have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Diego
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	3-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Portland Timbers(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	1-0	Leagues Cup

Houston Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	St. Louis City(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 San Diego win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Houston Dynamo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2026	Houston Dynamo 1-0 San Diego	Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2025	Houston Dynamo 2-4 San Diego	Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025	San Diego 3-4 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Houston Dynamo vs San Diego on Apr 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Houston Dynamo score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Diego	1.7	1.5	5	9/15	9/15
Houston Dynamo	1.7	0.7	8	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Diego sit 11th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 21 matches) and Houston Dynamo sit 2nd (38 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Houston Dynamo	21	12	2	7	30	26	38
11	San Diego	21	7	6	8	37	32	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?: The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Houston Dynamo.
Where and when is San Diego vs Houston Dynamo played?: San Diego vs Houston Dynamo is played on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.