Where and when is San Diego vs Philadelphia Union played?

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union is played on September 14, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)

San Diego

Philadelphia Union

The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Philadelphia Union. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate San Diego (1,847) and Philadelphia Union (1,817).

San Diego win46 %

Draw23 %

Philadelphia Union win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Philadelphia Union have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Diego
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	1-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Club America(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	0-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Atlanta United FC(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer

How many goals should we expect?

San Diego score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Diego	1.6	1.6	4	9/15	8/15
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Diego sit 12th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 19 matches) and Philadelphia Union sit 13th (19 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	San Diego	19	6	6	7	33	29	24
13	Philadelphia Union	19	5	4	10	28	35	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?: The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Philadelphia Union.
Where and when is San Diego vs Philadelphia Union played?: San Diego vs Philadelphia Union is played on September 14, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.