San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
San Diego starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Kansas City have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Louis City(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 0-4 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 San Diego win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sporting Kansas City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City 0-1 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sporting Kansas City 0-2 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
| May 18, 2025 | San Diego 0-0 Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Kansas City score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting Kansas City | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Diego sit 11th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 21 matches) and Sporting Kansas City sit 15th (15 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 27 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City?
- The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Sporting Kansas City.
- Where and when is San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City played?
- San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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