San Donato Tavarnelle vs Robur Siena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pianigiani, Tavarnelle Val di Pesa
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for San Donato Tavarnelle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Donato Tavarnelle vs Robur Siena?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate San Donato Tavarnelle (1,669) and Robur Siena (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Donato Tavarnelle have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Robur Siena have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sangiovannese(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Camaiore(away) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 San Donato Tavarnelle win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Robur Siena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle 1-1 Robur Siena | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 29, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle 2-3 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Robur Siena 0-2 San Donato Tavarnelle | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 5, 2023 | San Donato Tavarnelle 1-1 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Robur Siena 3-0 San Donato Tavarnelle | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: San Donato Tavarnelle vs Robur Siena on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Donato Tavarnelle score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Robur Siena | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Donato Tavarnelle sit 12th in Serie D - Girone E (40 points from 34 matches) and Robur Siena sit 4th (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Robur Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 60 |
| 12 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Robur Siena?
- The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for San Donato Tavarnelle.
- Where and when is San Donato Tavarnelle vs Robur Siena played?
- San Donato Tavarnelle vs Robur Siena is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Pianigiani, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.