Grassina vs Seravezza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Seravezza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grassina vs Seravezza?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Grassina (1,760) and Seravezza (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Seravezza have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Aglianese(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Gavorrano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Flaminia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Cannara(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Scandicci(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Seravezza?
- The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Seravezza.
- Where and when is Grassina vs Seravezza played?
- Grassina vs Seravezza is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026PratovsTau Altopascio
- Nov 15, 2026GavorranovsLucchese
- Nov 15, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsTernana
- Nov 15, 2026MezzolaravsScandicci
- Nov 15, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsRondinella
- Nov 15, 2026FlaminiavsMontevarchi Calcio
- Nov 15, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsRobur Siena
- Nov 15, 2026Terranuova TraianavsProgresso