Match

Gavorrano vs Lucchese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

GavorranoLucchese

The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lucchese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Gavorrano (1,623) and Lucchese (1,695).

30%29%41%
Gavorrano winDrawLucchese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gavorrano vs Lucchese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gavorrano

4-3-3
  1. 9Cristian Carlo Brega
  2. 19R. Barbuti
  3. 11M. Malotti
  1. 8Loris Damonte
  2. 25Leandro Vitiello
  3. 21F. Conti
  1. 3P. Ropolo
  2. 23D. Mori
  3. 6D. Marchetti
  4. 16G. Favale
  1. 1W. Falcone

Lucchese

4-3-3
  1. 9S. Magnaghi
  2. 70E. Saporiti
  3. 10A. Selvini
  1. 21E. Visconti
  2. 27R. Gucher
  3. 96G. Galli
  1. 5S. Benedetti
  2. 29E. Antoni
  3. 30A. Gemignani
  4. 3N. Rizzo
  1. 59R. Melgrati

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Lucchese have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Flaminia(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ternana(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Seravezza(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Grassina(away)6-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Rondinella(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gavorrano win, 1 draw, 0 Lucchese wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 10, 2018Lucchese 0-0 GavorranoSerie C - Girone A
Oct 22, 2017Gavorrano 1-0 LuccheseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Gavorrano on Mar 10, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gavorrano1.30.859/154/15
Lucchese2.11.8410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gavorrano sit 1st in Serie D - Girone E (14 points from 6 matches) and Lucchese sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Gavorrano64209314
3Lucchese6411161113

A question about Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Lucchese?
The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Lucchese played?
Gavorrano vs Lucchese is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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