Where and when is San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers played?

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at PayPal Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)PayPal Park, San Jose, California

San Jose Earthquakes

Portland Timbers

The Footlab model makes San Jose Earthquakes the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate San Jose Earthquakes (1,747) and Portland Timbers (1,787).

San Jose Earthquakes win49 %

Draw22 %

Portland Timbers win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Jose Earthquakes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Portland Timbers have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Jose Earthquakes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(away)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	2-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	San Diego(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Chicago Fire(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club America(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 San Jose Earthquakes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Portland Timbers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
Feb 11, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 Portland Timbers	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 14, 2025	Portland Timbers 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025	San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Portland Timbers	US Open Cup
May 4, 2025	San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Feb 5, 2025	Portland Timbers 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Jose Earthquakes score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Jose Earthquakes	1.7	2.3	0	12/15	10/15
Portland Timbers	2.3	1.6	1	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (28 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	San Jose Earthquakes	21	10	3	8	39	33	33
9	Portland Timbers	21	8	4	9	38	37	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?: The Footlab model makes San Jose Earthquakes the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Portland Timbers.
Where and when is San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers played?: San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at PayPal Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.