San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes San Telmo the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Defensores De Belgrano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate San Telmo (1,672) and Defensores De Belgrano (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Telmo have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Defensores De Belgrano have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Telmo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Defensores De Belgrano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 23, 2025 | San Telmo 0-3 Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 18, 2024 | San Telmo 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores De Belgrano score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Telmo | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Defensores De Belgrano | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Telmo sit 17th in Primera Nacional (24 points from 25 matches) and Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th (26 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Defensores De Belgrano | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano?
- The Footlab model makes San Telmo the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Defensores De Belgrano.
- Where and when is San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano played?
- San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chacarita JuniorsvsDeportivo Maipu
- Oct 10, 2026Colon Santa FevsAlmirante Brown
- Oct 10, 2026San Martin S.J.vsTemperley
- Oct 10, 2026AgropecuariovsColegiales
- Oct 10, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsQuilmes
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo MoronvsAtletico Mitre
- Oct 10, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsRacing Cordoba
- Oct 10, 2026Godoy CruzvsCA Estudiantes