Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
The Footlab model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kristiansund BK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Sarpsborg 08 FF starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarpsborg 08 FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kristiansund BK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Sarpsborg(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Molde(away) | 3-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trønder-Lyn(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Start(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sarpsborg 08 FF win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kristiansund BK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kristiansund BK 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Kristiansund BK 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-1 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Kristiansund BK 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-2 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Kristiansund BK 3-1 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kristiansund BK score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kristiansund BK | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th in Eliteserien (22 points from 17 matches) and Kristiansund BK sit 14th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
- The Footlab model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kristiansund BK.
- Where and when is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK played?
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.