Valerenga vs Tromso: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Intility Arena, Oslo
The Footlab AI model makes Valerenga the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Tromso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valerenga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Valerenga (1,935) and Tromso (2,022).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valerenga vs Tromso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valerenga
4-4-2- 17M. Grundetjern
- 11G. Zahid
- 77L. Haren
- 10C. Lange
- 15O. Holm
- 28M. Westergaard
- 2K. Finnsson
- 55S. Jarl
- 3H. Sjåtil
- 4A. Kiil Olsen
- 1O. Hedvall
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 7L. Olden Larsen
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 21L. Hien
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 1J. Haugaard
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valerenga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tromso have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Molde(home) | 3-4 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 3-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 0-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valerenga wins, 0 draws, 3 Tromso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Tromso 4-0 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Valerenga 1-0 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| May 31, 2025 | Tromso 2-1 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Valerenga 1-4 Tromso | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2024 | Valerenga 1-0 Tromso | NM Cupen |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Valerenga 3-1 Tromso | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Valerenga score 2.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tromso score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tromso | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valerenga sit 12th in Eliteserien (23 points from 21 matches) and Tromso sit 3rd (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 38 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | 23 |
A question about Valerenga vs Tromso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valerenga vs Tromso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valerenga the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Tromso.
- Where and when is Valerenga vs Tromso played?
- Valerenga vs Tromso is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Intility Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.