Aalesund vs Sandefjord: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Aalesund. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sandefjord wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Aalesund (1,942) and Sandefjord (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aalesund vs Sandefjord
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aalesund
5-3-2- 27H. M. Reed
- 8I. Skotheim
- 18E. Hagen
- 21M. Christensen
- 15E. Osenbroch
- 14U. Charles
- 2M. Andresen
- 7K. Nessø
- 28D. Mbacke
- 3Ó. Guðmundsson
- 1Luca Podlech
Sandefjord
4-1-4-1- 9O. Kapskarmo
- 6S. Mørk
- 7E. Patoulidis
- 8T. Børkeeiet
- 10E. Gigović
- 19Bendik Berntsen
- 4F. Pedersen
- 44X. Lambrix
- 13R. Holten
- 3V. Egeli
- 30E. Hadaya
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sandefjord have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Molde(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Førde(away) | 4-3 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Start(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Flint(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Start(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brann(home) | 0-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aalesund win, 1 draw, 4 Sandefjord wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sandefjord 1-0 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Aalesund 0-3 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sandefjord 4-0 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Sandefjord 2-1 Aalesund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Aalesund 1-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Sandefjord 2-2 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Sandefjord vs Aalesund on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sandefjord score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund | 2.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Sandefjord | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund sit 14th in Eliteserien (21 points from 21 matches) and Sandefjord sit 11th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | 21 |
A question about Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Aalesund.
- Where and when is Aalesund vs Sandefjord played?
- Aalesund vs Sandefjord is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.