Start vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Start. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lillestrom wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Lillestrom?
Lillestrom starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,014 vs 1,884).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Start vs Lillestrom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Start
5-3-2- 20H. Lorentzen
- 9N. Koutsakos
- 23E. Segberg
- 10S. Mvoué
- 18M. Ugland
- 27O. Toure
- 3A. Ujkani
- 29E. Reitan
- 6J. Norheim
- 5S. Granheim
- 26M. Sjøeng
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 8F. Gulbrandsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 17E. Kitolano
- 22D. Bassi
- 29Y. Ibrahimaj
- 11F. Elkær
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 47S. Kristiansen
- 12P. Dahlberg
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Lillestrom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Start win, 1 draw, 4 Lillestrom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lillestrom 3-1 Start | Eliteserien |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Lillestrom 3-0 Start | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Start 0-3 Lillestrom | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Start 3-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Apr 9, 2018 | Lillestrom 1-0 Start | Eliteserien |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Lillestrom 1-1 Start | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (16 points from 21 matches) and Lillestrom sit 6th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 32 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | 16 |
A question about Start vs Lillestrom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Start.
- Where and when is Start vs Lillestrom played?
- Start vs Lillestrom is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.