Match

SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911: prediction and stats

Liga 3Matchday 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, Covilhã

SC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911

The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Lusitano Évora 1911 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate SC Covilha (1,838) and Lusitano Évora 1911 (1,933).

27%35%38%
SC Covilha winDrawLusitano Évora 1911 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Covilha

4-3-3
  1. 99C. Niang
  2. 18J. Pacheco
  3. 7Danny
  1. 5H. Innusah
  2. 6A. Barbosa
  3. 19F. Cruz
  1. 2Kauan Gomes
  2. 23Emerson Gomes
  3. 45M. Aidara
  4. 22E. Gomes Silva
  1. 1Gustavo Galil

Lusitano Évora 1911

4-3-3
  1. 23Diogo Sequeira
  2. 11S. A. Andrade Male
  3. 10Martim Águas
  1. 13Burá
  2. 5I. Diagne
  3. 8Tiago Baptista
  1. 4Cassiano
  2. 21Marcos Soares
  3. 2Marco Baixinho
  4. 53Eurichano Carvalho
  1. 22D. Martins

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 06:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Covilha have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Lusitano Évora 1911 have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Covilha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Louletano(away)0-2Liga 3
Nov 1, 2026Caldas(home)0-1Liga 3
Oct 25, 2026CF Os Belenenses(away)1-1Liga 3
Oct 10, 2026Oliveirense(home)0-0Liga 3
Sep 12, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911(away)2-2Liga 3
Lusitano Évora 1911
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026CF Os Belenenses(away)0-0Liga 3
Nov 1, 2026Vitória de Sernache(home)0-1Liga 3
Oct 24, 2026Oliveirense(home)2-2Liga 3
Oct 9, 2026União Santarém(away)0-3Liga 3
Sep 12, 2026SC Covilha(home)2-2Liga 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Covilha wins, 2 draws, 4 Lusitano Évora 1911 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911 2-2 SC CovilhaLiga 3
Apr 18, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 SC CovilhaLiga 3
Mar 14, 2026SC Covilha 1-3 Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3
Jan 4, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 SC CovilhaLiga 3
Nov 22, 2025SC Covilha 0-2 Lusitano Évora 1911Taça de Portugal
Sep 28, 2025SC Covilha 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3

Last archived meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Covilha score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitano Évora 1911 score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Covilha0.71.046/154/15
Lusitano Évora 19110.71.136/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Covilha sit 9th in Liga 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 10th (7 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9SC Covilha91445107
10Lusitano Évora 191191446117

A question about SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for SC Covilha.
Where and when is SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 played?
SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, in the Liga 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC Covilha and Lusitano Évora 1911