SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911: prediction and stats
Liga 3Matchday 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, Covilhã
The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Lusitano Évora 1911 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate SC Covilha (1,838) and Lusitano Évora 1911 (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Covilha
4-3-3- 99C. Niang
- 18J. Pacheco
- 7Danny
- 5H. Innusah
- 6A. Barbosa
- 19F. Cruz
- 2Kauan Gomes
- 23Emerson Gomes
- 45M. Aidara
- 22E. Gomes Silva
- 1Gustavo Galil
Lusitano Évora 1911
4-3-3- 23Diogo Sequeira
- 11S. A. Andrade Male
- 10Martim Águas
- 13Burá
- 5I. Diagne
- 8Tiago Baptista
- 4Cassiano
- 21Marcos Soares
- 2Marco Baixinho
- 53Eurichano Carvalho
- 22D. Martins
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 06:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Covilha have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Lusitano Évora 1911 have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Covilha wins, 2 draws, 4 Lusitano Évora 1911 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911 2-2 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | SC Covilha 1-3 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | SC Covilha 0-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SC Covilha 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Covilha score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitano Évora 1911 score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Covilha | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Covilha sit 9th in Liga 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 10th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SC Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for SC Covilha.
- Where and when is SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 played?
- SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.