Mafra vs Oliveirense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 14Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Mafra the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Oliveirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mafra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mafra vs Oliveirense?
Mafra starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,994 vs 1,892).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mafra vs Oliveirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mafra
4-3-3- 7R. Matos
- 9Mamor Niang
- 11Leandro Alves
- 46Braima Samú
- 37A. Ba
- 6Y. Maïga
- 5Gonçalo Cardoso
- 2M. Camara
- 3Kauê Alves
- 13Celso Raposo
- 33Pedro Silva
Oliveirense
3-4-3- 10Joao Tavares
- 70Kiko Félix
- 22R. Rei
- 8Vasco Braga
- 6J. Daniel
- 17K. Nagata
- 80K. Onohara
- 55Luís Bastos
- 14Simão Martins
- 24Gonçalo Loureiro
- 33Unai Pérez
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mafra have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Oliveirense have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Penalva Castelo(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mafra win, 3 draws, 2 Oliveirense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oliveirense 2-1 Mafra | Liga 3 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Mafra 0-0 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Oliveirense 0-0 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Mafra 3-3 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Oliveirense 1-3 Mafra | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Mafra 2-3 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mafra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oliveirense score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Oliveirense | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mafra sit 4th in Liga 3 (8 points from 6 matches) and Oliveirense sit 3rd (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Mafra vs Oliveirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mafra vs Oliveirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mafra the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Oliveirense.
- Where and when is Mafra vs Oliveirense played?
- Mafra vs Oliveirense is played on January 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Mafra, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.