Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses: prediction and stats
Liga 3Matchday 14Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Atlético CP. The most likely score is 1-1. If CF Os Belenenses wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Atlético CP (2,024) and CF Os Belenenses (2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 38Caio Santana
- 11H. Suker
- 19S. Traore
- 10Caleb
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
CF Os Belenenses
4-3-3- 23Bruninho
- 33Chamito
- 11João Oliveira
- 17Diogo Leitão
- 21T. Morgado
- 14A. Afonso
- 4Nuno Tomás
- 66Cesinha
- 15João Lucas
- 58David Monteiro
- 99Guilherme Oliveira
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; CF Os Belenenses have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atlético CP wins, 3 draws, 3 CF Os Belenenses wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Atlético CP 1-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Atlético CP 2-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | CF Os Belenenses 0-0 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: CF Os Belenenses vs Atlético CP on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; CF Os Belenenses score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| CF Os Belenenses | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (20 points from 9 matches) and CF Os Belenenses sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 20 |
A question about Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Atlético CP.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses played?
- Atlético CP vs CF Os Belenenses is played on January 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.