Match

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Wolfsburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

On Elo ratings, SC Freiburg has 2,260 points and VfL Wolfsburg 2,097.

32%23%45%
SC Freiburg winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 19J. Beste
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 14Y. Suzuki
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 3P. Lienhart
  3. 33J. Makengo
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Reese
  2. 19R. Glatzel
  3. 17A. Bernhardsson
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 31Y. Gerhardt
  1. 6H. Wahl
  2. 21J. Mæhle
  3. 33Cleiton
  4. 2K. Fischer
  1. 30J. Zieliński

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)4-42. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026Havelse(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)5-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)0-12. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Freiburg wins, 1 draw, 1 VfL Wolfsburg win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026SC Freiburg 1-1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Dec 20, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 3-4 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 26, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Dec 13, 2024SC Freiburg 3-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Apr 27, 2024SC Freiburg 1-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Dec 9, 2023VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg2.81.1410/1513/15
VfL Wolfsburg2.91.6310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg

Ready to know everything about football?