FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,178 vs 2,065).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 5-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Derby(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SC Freiburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Augsburg 2-2 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | SC Freiburg 3-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FC Augsburg 2-1 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SC Freiburg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | 47 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg played?
- FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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