Match

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,245 vs 2,119).

30%22%48%
FC Augsburg winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
  1. 16Hennes Behrens
  2. 4H. Massengo
  3. 19R. Fellhauer
  4. 32F. Rieder
  5. 21A. Ibrahimović
  6. 27M. Wolf
  1. 2C. Brackelmann
  2. 5C. Matsima
  3. 35Abdulay Bah
  1. 1F. Dahmen

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 19J. Beste
  4. 16Y. Engelhardt
  5. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SC Freiburg have 13, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bayern München(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)4-1Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)5-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg wins, 2 draws, 2 SC Freiburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026FC Augsburg 2-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Aug 23, 2025SC Freiburg 1-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Mar 2, 2025FC Augsburg 0-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Oct 19, 2024SC Freiburg 3-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Feb 25, 2024FC Augsburg 2-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Oct 1, 2023SC Freiburg 2-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.91.9310/1513/15
SC Freiburg3.01.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 6th in Bundesliga (8 points from 5 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SC Freiburg541014413
6FC Augsburg52211388

A question about FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg played?
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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