SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Augsburg?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,090) and FC Augsburg (2,071).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| May 21, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2020 | FC Augsburg 0-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | SC Paderborn 07 0-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 11, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 2-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2014 | FC Augsburg 3-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 on May 27, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Augsburg played?
- SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Augsburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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