Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg played?

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

SC Freiburg

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate VfB Stuttgart (2,252) and SC Freiburg (2,195).

VfB Stuttgart win53 %

Draw22 %

SC Freiburg win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SC Freiburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2026	VfB Stuttgart 2-1 SC Freiburg	DFB Pokal
Feb 1, 2026	VfB Stuttgart 1-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2025	SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Jan 18, 2025	VfB Stuttgart 4-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2024	SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Feb 3, 2024	SC Freiburg 1-3 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg on Apr 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg played?: VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.