Match

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfB Stuttgart wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate VfB Stuttgart (2,278) and SC Freiburg (2,245).

46%24%30%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 21G. Prömel
  6. 18J. Leweling
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 7M. Mittelstädt
  1. 1F. Bredlow

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 19J. Beste
  4. 16Y. Engelhardt
  5. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; SC Freiburg have 13, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)5-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfB Stuttgart wins, 0 draws, 2 SC Freiburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2026VfB Stuttgart 2-1 SC FreiburgDFB Pokal
Feb 1, 2026VfB Stuttgart 1-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Sep 13, 2025SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Jan 18, 2025VfB Stuttgart 4-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Aug 24, 2024SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Feb 3, 2024SC Freiburg 1-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg on Apr 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 2.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart2.91.067/1512/15
SC Freiburg3.01.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 11th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SC Freiburg541014413
11VfB Stuttgart5203896

A question about VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg played?
VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg

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