Where and when is RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,090).

RB Leipzig win54 %

Draw23 %

SC Paderborn 07 win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2020	RB Leipzig 1-1 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2019	SC Paderborn 07 2-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Feb 26, 2016	SC Paderborn 07 0-1 RB Leipzig	2. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2015	RB Leipzig 2-0 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Aug 17, 2014	RB Leipzig 2-1 SC Paderborn 07	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07 on Jun 6, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: RB Leipzig vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.