Match

Werder Bremen vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,532 Elo points against 2,083, a 449-point gap.

12%16%72%
Werder Bremen winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 14L. Díaz
  4. 45A. Pavlović
  5. 34I. Saibari
  1. 4J. Tah
  2. 2D. Upamecano
  3. 44J. Stanišić
  4. 19A. Davies
  1. 1M. Neuer

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-4Bundesliga
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Bodo/Glimt(home)5-0UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen win, 0 draws, 5 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Sep 26, 2025Bayern München 4-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 7, 2025Bayern München 3-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Sep 21, 2024Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Jan 21, 2024Bayern München 0-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Aug 18, 2023Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Bayern München on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen2.01.539/159/15
Bayern München3.01.1411/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 7th in Bundesliga (8 points from 5 matches) and Bayern München sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bayern München532016411
7Werder Bremen522110108

A question about Werder Bremen vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Bayern München played?
Werder Bremen vs Bayern München is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and Bayern München

Ready to know everything about football?