Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig played?

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund (2,293) and RB Leipzig (2,211).

Borussia Dortmund win51 %

Draw22 %

RB Leipzig win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borussia Dortmund win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 RB Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 1-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2025	RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Apr 27, 2024	RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2023	Borussia Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (73 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for RB Leipzig.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig played?: Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.