Match

FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgVfB Stuttgart

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,073).

FC Augsburg win27 %
Draw21 %
VfB Stuttgart win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Fulham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Everton(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Paris FC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)8-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Augsburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 VfB Stuttgart win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026FC Augsburg 2-5 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Nov 9, 2025VfB Stuttgart 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
May 11, 2025VfB Stuttgart 4-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Feb 4, 2025VfB Stuttgart 1-0 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal
Jan 12, 2025FC Augsburg 0-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
May 10, 2024FC Augsburg 0-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15
VfB Stuttgart3.11.349/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4VfB Stuttgart341888714962
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart played?
FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Augsburg and VfB Stuttgart

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