Match

Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SVSV Elversberg

The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamburger SV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,121) and SV Elversberg (2,153).

41%24%35%
Hamburger SV winDrawSV Elversberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  2. 20Fábio Vieira
  3. 5M. Adeline
  4. 37L. Lemke
  5. 21N. Remberg
  6. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 25L. Petkov
  2. 43F. Keidel
  3. 8Ł. Poręba
  4. 10Noah Darvich
  5. 7M. Krattenmacher
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 31M. Rohr
  3. 19L. Pinckert
  4. 30J. Gyamerah
  1. 20N. Kristof

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SV Elversberg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Augsburg(home)4-3Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-1Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hamburger SV win, 1 draw, 2 SV Elversberg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2025Hamburger SV 0-0 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024SV Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Feb 25, 2024Hamburger SV 1-0 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2023SV Elversberg 2-1 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg on Mar 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.61.839/1511/15
SV Elversberg2.41.3410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 9th in Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and SV Elversberg sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6SV Elversberg6312121110
9Hamburger SV63036159

A question about Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg played?
Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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