Villarreal vs Espanyol: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Villarreal starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (2,095 vs 1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal vs Espanyol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 17T. Buchanan
- 18P. Gueye
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 24N. Saliba
- 12Renato Veiga
- 6Pau Navarro
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 3A. Freeman
- 25P. Gulácsi
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 4Urko González
- 8Edu Expósito
- 22Álex Calatrava
- 24T. Dolan
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 14Unai Núñez
- 13M. Dmitrović
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Espanyol have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Villarreal wins, 0 draws, 0 Espanyol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Villarreal 4-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Espanyol 0-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Villarreal 1-0 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 27, 2023 | Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Espanyol 0-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Espanyol on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Espanyol | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 9th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Espanyol sit 15th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Espanyol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Espanyol played?
- Villarreal vs Espanyol is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.