Sevilla vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Sevilla the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Sevilla (2,057) and Celta Vigo (2,119).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Celta Vigo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sevilla win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Celta Vigo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Celta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Sevilla 0-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Celta Vigo 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 1st in La Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab model makes Sevilla the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Celta Vigo played?
- Sevilla vs Celta Vigo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.