Sevilla vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Sevilla (2,066) and Celta Vigo (2,098).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 8G. Kochorashvili
- 30Miguel Ángel
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 22Javi Galán
- 8Miguel Román
- 18Yoel Lago
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 13I. Radu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Celta Vigo have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sevilla win, 1 draw, 4 Celta Vigo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Celta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Sevilla 0-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Celta Vigo 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 5th in La Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Celta Vigo played?
- Sevilla vs Celta Vigo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.