Real Madrid vs Levante: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Levante. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Levante?
Real Madrid starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (2,356 vs 2,058).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid vs Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 8F. Valverde
- 5J. Bellingham
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 25Y. Diomande
- 15A. Güler
- 16I. Konaté
- 22A. Rüdiger
- 17Marc Cucurella
- 24D. Dumfries
- 1T. Courtois
Levante
4-4-2- 9Iván Romero
- 11Yanis Musuayi
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti
- 7Brugui
- 20Oriol Rey
- 17Víctor García
- 4Dela
- 23Manu Sánchez
- 22J. Toljan
- 2A. Mandi
- 13M. Ryan
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Levante have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 4-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Elche(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Real Madrid wins, 1 draw, 1 Levante win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Real Madrid 2-0 Levante | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Levante 1-4 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| May 12, 2022 | Real Madrid 6-0 Levante | La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Levante 3-3 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Real Madrid 1-2 Levante | La Liga |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Levante 0-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Levante on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Levante score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Levante | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 4th in La Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Levante sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Real Madrid vs Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid vs Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Levante.
- Where and when is Real Madrid vs Levante played?
- Real Madrid vs Levante is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.