Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (2,294 vs 2,051).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 15Jonathan David
- 11Ademola Lookman
- 20Giuliano Simeone Baldini
- 7Lee Kang-In
- 8Pablo Barrios Rivas
- 23Morten Hjulmand
- 21Cristian Romero
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 18Marc Pubill
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Racing Santander have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atletico Madrid win, 2 draws, 1 Racing Santander win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Atletico Madrid 4-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| May 10, 2011 | Racing Santander 2-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2011 | Atletico Madrid 0-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Atletico Madrid on Feb 11, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 2nd in La Liga (22 points from 9 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 22 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander played?
- Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.