Racing Santander vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Racing Santander (2,023) and Athletic Club (2,092).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander vs Athletic Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 23Iván Martín
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 19Iker Luque
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 21Maroan Sannadi
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 9I. Williams
- 28Peio Canales
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Dani Vivian
- 1Unai Simón
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ribadesella CF(away) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat(away) | 6-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Racing Santander wins, 2 draws, 4 Athletic Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Racing Santander 0-3 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Racing Santander 0-0 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Athletic Club 1-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| May 21, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Athletic Club on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 16th in La Liga (11 points from 11 matches) and Athletic Club sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 11 |
A question about Racing Santander vs Athletic Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Athletic Club played?
- Racing Santander vs Athletic Club is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.