Racing Santander vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Racing Santander (2,045) and Athletic Club (2,052).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Racing Santander win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Athletic Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Racing Santander 0-3 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Racing Santander 0-0 Athletic Club | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Athletic Club 1-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| May 21, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Athletic Club on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Athletic Club | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 14th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Athletic Club sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Athletic Club played?
- Racing Santander vs Athletic Club is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.